<?xml version="1.0" encoding="UTF-8"?><xml><records><record><source-app name="Biblio" version="7.x">Drupal-Biblio</source-app><ref-type>17</ref-type><contributors><authors><author><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Marcos Ferasso</style></author><author><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Eloisio Andrey Bergamaschi</style></author></authors></contributors><titles><title><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Kondratieff’s Economic Waves and Future Scenarios Planning: an approach for organizations</style></title><secondary-title><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Technology Innovation Management Review</style></secondary-title></titles><keywords><keyword><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Economic waves</style></keyword><keyword><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">foresight</style></keyword><keyword><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Future studies</style></keyword><keyword><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Kondratieff.</style></keyword><keyword><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Strategic Planning</style></keyword></keywords><dates><year><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">2020</style></year><pub-dates><date><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">02/2020</style></date></pub-dates></dates><urls><web-urls><url><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">timreview.ca/article/1327</style></url></web-urls></urls><publisher><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Talent First Network</style></publisher><pub-location><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Ottawa</style></pub-location><volume><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">10</style></volume><pages><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">51-61</style></pages><language><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">eng</style></language><abstract><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">This manuscript aims to present connections between scenario building techniques and Kondratieff's long economic waves, as a way of identifying patterns in medium and long-term planning for companies' future scenarios. This essay considers two different conceptual contributions to improve forecasting on organizations taking as a departure point Kondratieff's economic waves and Schwartz's future scenario planning. Analyzing these two theoretical contributions, we concluded that the information obtained through the path of Kondratieff's waves can delineate future scenarios as a way to anticipate challenges, opportunities, and threats for organizations' contingency planning. As a contribution for practitioners, considering these two approaches together enables greater performance for strategic planning of future scenarios that can be applied by organizations across a range of industries.</style></abstract><issue><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">2</style></issue><custom1><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Unochapeco University
M. Ferasso earned his Bachelor Diploma in Management from University of the West of Santa Catarina (Brazil) in 2002, his Specialization Diploma in Business Management from UNOESC (Brazil) in 2005, his Specialization Diploma in Local Development from International Labour Organization/United Nations (Italy) in 2006, earned his M.Sc. in Management from UFRGS (Brazil) in 2009, with an exchange period as visiting researcher at Euromed-Marseille Ecole de Management (France), and earned his Ph.D. in Management from Federal University of Parana (Brazil) in 2018, with an exchange period as visiting researcher at Forsyth Technical Community College (USA). He concluded his first Postdoctorate at Meridional Faculty – IMED (Brazil) and the second at KEDGE Business School – Marseilles (France). He is currently Assistant Professor at Unochapeco University (Brazil).</style></custom1><custom2><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">SESI Innovation Institute
E. A. Bergamaschi earned his Bachelor Diploma in Business Management and Information Systems from Pontifical Catholic University of Rio Grande do Sul (Brazil) in 2002, his M.Sc. in Management from Federal University of Rio Grande do Sul (Brazil) in 2008, and his Specialization Diploma in Computer Science from Federal University of Rio Grande do Sul (Brazil) in 2010. Currently, he is Manager at SESI Innovation Institute (Brazil).
</style></custom2><section><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">51</style></section></record><record><source-app name="Biblio" version="7.x">Drupal-Biblio</source-app><ref-type>17</ref-type><contributors><authors><author><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Anne-Mari Järvenpää</style></author><author><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Iivari Kunttu</style></author><author><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Mikko Mäntyneva</style></author></authors></contributors><titles><title><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Using Foresight to Shape Future Expectations in Circular Economy SMEs</style></title><secondary-title><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Technology Innovation Management Review</style></secondary-title></titles><keywords><keyword><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">circular economy</style></keyword><keyword><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">foresight</style></keyword><keyword><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">innovation</style></keyword><keyword><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">PESTEL</style></keyword><keyword><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">SMEs</style></keyword></keywords><dates><year><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">2020</style></year><pub-dates><date><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">07/2020</style></date></pub-dates></dates><urls><web-urls><url><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">timreview.ca/article/1374</style></url></web-urls></urls><publisher><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Talent First Network</style></publisher><pub-location><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Ottawa</style></pub-location><volume><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">10</style></volume><pages><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">42-51</style></pages><language><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">eng</style></language><abstract><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Future foresight in business plays a central role in firms&amp;rsquo; strategic planning, innovation, and product development activities. This is particularly true for the firms that are operating in rapidly changing business environments, in which a firm may obtain significant competitive advantages by coming up with new innovations and customer solutions. This article studies future foresight mechanisms and practices in innovative SMEs operating in circular economy&amp;ndash;related industries. The future demands set by legislation and regulation, consumer buying behaviour, and environmental consciousness, all have a strong impact on an SME&amp;rsquo;s future horizon, in which there may be prosperous business opportunities as well as several challenges. This paper presents a qualitative case study conducted on seven Finnish circular economy-oriented SMEs. The case study reveals that the SMEs in this industrial sector are quite active in foresight activities, and that they have developed a variety of practices for effectively utilizing foresight information in their product development and strategic planning activities.</style></abstract><issue><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">7</style></issue><custom1><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">University of Vaasa
Anne-Mari Järvenpää holds a MEng degree in Industrial Service Business (2010) and a BEng degree in Information Technology (2005) from the Häme University of Applied Sciences (HAMK), Finland. Currently, she is studying a PhD degree in Industrial Management at the University of Vaasa, Finland. Her research topic relates to the circular economy and industrial symbiosis. She is working as a senior lecturer at HAMK on the Degree Programme in Information and Communication Technology, Bioeconomy.
</style></custom1><custom2><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">HAMK
Dr. Iivari Kunttu holds a PhD degree in Information Technology from the Tampere University of Technology (TUT; 2005) and a PhD degree in Economics (management) from the University of Vaasa, Finland (2017). Currently he acts as Principal Research Scientist in HAMK. During 2012-2017 he held an assistant professor position in the Department of Management of the University of Vaasa. He has also held several R&amp;D manager and R&amp;D process development specialist positions in the Nokia Corporation and has held project manager positions in TUT. His current research interests include R&amp;D and innovation management, data analysis, and business development, as well as digital services. His works have been published in such international journals as Pattern Recognition Letters, Machine Vision Applications, Optical Engineering, Journal of Telemedicine and Telecare, Annals of Long-term Care, Technovation, Industry and Innovation, and Technology Innovation Management Review.
</style></custom2><custom3><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">HAMK
Dr. Mikko Mäntyneva holds a PhD degree in Strategic Management from TUT (2004). Currently he is the Principal Research Scientist at HAMK. His research focuses on smart services, innovation management, knowledge management, and customer relationship management. He has authored several scientific articles as well as six books on various management topics.</style></custom3><section><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">42</style></section></record><record><source-app name="Biblio" version="7.x">Drupal-Biblio</source-app><ref-type>17</ref-type><contributors><authors><author><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Mikko Dufva</style></author><author><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Raija Koivisto</style></author><author><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Leena Ilmola-Sheppard</style></author><author><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Seija Junno</style></author></authors></contributors><titles><title><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Anticipating Alternative Futures for the Platform Economy</style></title><secondary-title><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Technology Innovation Management Review</style></secondary-title></titles><keywords><keyword><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">foresight</style></keyword><keyword><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">morphological analysis</style></keyword><keyword><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">platform economy</style></keyword><keyword><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">platforms</style></keyword><keyword><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">portfolio modelling</style></keyword><keyword><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">resilience</style></keyword><keyword><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">scenarios</style></keyword><keyword><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">strategy</style></keyword></keywords><dates><year><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">2017</style></year><pub-dates><date><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">09/2017</style></date></pub-dates></dates><urls><web-urls><url><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">http://timreview.ca/article/1102</style></url></web-urls></urls><publisher><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Talent First Network</style></publisher><pub-location><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Ottawa</style></pub-location><volume><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">7</style></volume><pages><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">6-16</style></pages><language><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">eng</style></language><abstract><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Despite the considerable hype around platforms, our understanding of what the platform economy means and what drivers will define future development trajectories is limited. Companies and policy makers have a great need to investigate what potential opportunities will arise from the platform economy. A shared perception of uncertainties and a strong vision are prerequisites for the development of the platform economy. In this article, we describe a systematic way to develop a resilient vision for a new platform ecosystem, both from the viewpoint of national policy makers and corporate strategy makers in the heavy engineering industry. The process uses morphological analysis for scenario development and robust portfolio modelling for creating resilient strategies. The results include a list of key uncertainties, three general scenarios (sustainable development by Europe; polarization driven by China and the United States; US-driven fast, unreliable growth) as well as steel-industry specific scenarios based on these uncertainties, elements of a resilient vision, and strategies for coping with the uncertainties described by the scenarios.</style></abstract><issue><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">9</style></issue><custom1><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">VTT Technical Research Centre of Finland
Mikko Dufva is a Research Scientist at VTT Technical Research Centre of Finland working in the field of foresight. He has completed projects and research related to the futures of work, the platform economy, synthetic biology, forestry, mining, and the use of renewable energy. He holds a Doctor of Science degree in Technology, and his dissertation was about knowledge creation in foresight from a systems perspective. He has broad methodological expertise ranging from systems thinking, decision analysis, and optimization to interactive planning, scenario analysis, and participatory methods.</style></custom1><custom2><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">VTT Technical Research Centre of Finland
Raija Koivisto is a Principal Scientist at VTT Technical Research Centre of Finland. She has over 30 years’ experience in research and consultancy in risk management, safety, security, and foresight-related areas. Her main interest is to try to understand and manage phenomena and their impacts on people, organizations, and society by using risk management and foresight methods. Her current research focuses on the platform economy, ethics, pandemic risks in transport hubs, and resilience of infrastructures.</style></custom2><custom3><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">International Institute for Advanced Systems Analysis 
Leena Ilmola-Sheppard is a Senior Research Scholar in the International Institute for Advanced Systems Analysis (IIASA). Her research theme is uncertainty and resilience of social systems. She is developing new modelling methods for foresight and tools for pragmatic decision making. Her current projects include developing management systems for resilience.</style></custom3><custom4><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">SSAB
Seija Junno is a Director of Business Model Development at SSAB. She was the leader of the SmartSteel project. She has over 30 years of experience in R&amp;D, especially in activating new business development and business models, driving user experience and service business mindset into R&amp;D and communicating, and making results understandable. She has also been involved in developing the innovation system around metal and steel industry as part of the Finnish Metals and Engineering Competence Cluster Ltd (FIMECC) network program.</style></custom4></record></records></xml>